Friday, December 29, 2017

Friends & bros

Walter Macfarlane and Alan Robinson were both raised in Hawaii and have been great friends for sixty years. This month they were surprised to find out that . . in addition to being friends, they are actually brothers.
Robinson had been adopted and was looking for his birth relatives. Macfarlane never knew his father. They made the connection through Ancestry.com.

Having been friends since 6th grade, they both say the news came as a shock - a shock they shared with their families last Saturday, Dec. 23.

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

IS defeat

Islamic State (ISIS) took Mosul, Iraq, in 2014. Christians had four options: stay and convert, stay and pay, die, or run. One night, one hundred thousand Christians fled Mosul, leaving families and their way of life behind. 

Homes, churches, museums, neighborhoods - not only Christian - were ravaged and destroyed while IS was in control. The UN estimates that IS barbarity eventually displaced over 3 million people in the region.

But three years of fighting have culminated with a victory declared by Iraqi prime minister Al-Abadi this month. He said, "We defeated Daesh (ISIS) through our unity and sacrifice for the nation. Long live Iraq and its people."

"The US special presidential envoy for the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS tweeted . . "We congratulate the Prime Minister and all the Iraqi people on this significant achievement, which many thought impossible."


(cont'd tomorrow)

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Not pagan

Some people are bothered by the claim that our Christmas celebration was just the co-opting of a pagan Roman Empire celebration, and therefore not valid. This article says that there's little or no evidence to renounce our holiday as a fake.

It doesn't seem to co-opt the "Saturnalia" or the "Sol Invictus" festivals. And it looks like early Christians made a good faith attempt to put a date on Christ's birth so that it could be observed.

Given how hard it would be to be certain of the date Mary had her baby in the stable, with no news coverage whatsoever, and two thousand years ago, I think a little uncertainty is not a problem. 

We have a date, and we celebrate the fact that Jesus Christ brought light to the world:

"In him was life, and the life was the light of men. The light shines in the darkness, and the darkness has not overcome it . ." (from John 1)

photo: wikipedia.com

Monday, December 25, 2017

Both Christmases

Ah, Christmas Day. Lovely, fragrant, cheery, fun. Or not. Christmas is wonderful; it's also serious with a side of sadness at times.

If you have circumstances making your Christmas Day less than great, just know that there's an inherent suffering right in Christmas. The story of Jesus' birth eventually led to the story of His walk to Gethsemane - and He knew it would.

"Why Christmas is and should be a bit sad"

Friday, December 22, 2017

Christmas beauty

Christmas-inspired music has been inspiring us for hundreds of years (the first Christmas was something like 4 A.D.). 

Johann Sebastian Bach was himself inspired by the God of the Bible. His music was "the expression of a unitary … world view, in which all beauty … was sacred because God was one, both Creator and Redeemer."

"The aim and final end of all music should be none other than the glory of God and the refreshment of the soul." —J.S. Bach


Here is beauty from his Christmas Oratorio, to glorify God and refresh your soul.

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

Producing

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Lots of good things result from the success of that one business in yesterday's post, the Harris farm ("White Oak Pastures") of Bluffton, Georgia. Will's decision to stop following the industrial farming model - and to start the sustainable grazing model - initiated ripples of improvement and prosperity beyond his family.

Originally a beef monoculture, the farm now additionally has goats, chickens, sheep, ducks, turkeys, rabbits, and more. Chickens graze a field after cattle move on, spreading manure and feeding on larvae breeding in it. Small ruminants also follow cattle. Will says the animals are healthier and happier every year.

Land that supported only cows years ago now now supports lots of diverse life - all of which make the land better. There's more microbial life in the soil, it absorbs much more water (instead of letting it run off), and more carbon is sequestered in it.

Animals, land, Harris family, 100+ employees, businesses they buy from - all benefit because the folks at White Oak Pastures create value. It all works because they serve a market niche that is willing to pay the price for these products.


Will says, "Technically I work 16 hours a day but I don't feel like I work at all! I would do for free what I do for a living."  That's passion.

Tuesday, December 19, 2017

Sustainable

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

McDonald's is looking for sustainable farmers. Here is the story of one.

Will Harris inherited the northern Georgia farm that his grandfather originally bought. It was profitable until the early 1990's, then it wasn't. That's when the land's productivity sank so low that farms couldn't be profitable anymore, and the little farming community died.

Will's dad started using ammonium nitrate fertilizer on his pasture back in 1946. What he didn't know was that, although the grass seemed to love it, that fertilizer was killing "the microbial life that fed the soil."

His "contained animal feeding operation" (CAFO) supported his family for about twenty years. Then came the dark days and he wound up borrowing $7 million to maintain his industrial farm. At the bottom of the barrel, he changed to a system like Joel Salatin's.

He calls himself a grass farmer now, just like Salatin does. His farm has grown from 700 cows in 1995 to 100,000 different animals - all on the same land. It seems like a miracle. They support their family and over one hundred employees.

Monday, December 18, 2017

Friday, December 15, 2017

Merry Christmas

If you were an American Christian living in, say, Iraq, would you wish your neighbors a Happy Ramadan? I would do that - to honor their tradition and to extend courtesy to my neighbors.

About 92% of Americans celebrate Christmas, some Christian and some not. So you're on very solid ground when you say "Merry Christmas!" to almost everybody.



Note: Christians (including me) celebrate the birth of Jesus Christ at Christmas. But non-Christians celebrate our national holiday too - "a big majority (81%) of non-Christians in the U.S.also celebrate Christmas." You offend almost nobody by wishing them a cheery "Merry Christmas."

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Interpersonal

Pastor Mac shares wisdom for smoother interaction with other people. "Don't dream up conflict." Genuine conflict is unavoidable, but hopefully we can avoid dreamed-up conflict. If a conversation can clear the air, we won't have to suffer through more conflict than is necessary.

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Sit with us

Natalie Hampton was bullied in school for years, told that she would never have any friends, even physically attacked. But it was sitting alone at lunch that made her feel like an outcast.

Changing schools in ninth grade made the difference for her, though, when she was invited to sit with someone during lunch. She says that this kindness saved her life.

Natalie created an app called "Sit With Us." Students create "open lunches" where anyone can join them and be included in the conversation. 

"Even though just about every school has bullies, I believe each school has a larger number of upstanders who want to make their schools more inclusive and kind," she said.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Last walker

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Gene Cernan, an American Navy captain, "veteran of three space flights, and the last man to walk on the moon", died last January at the age of 82.

Here's footage of the launch of the huge Saturn V rocket for the Apollo 17 mission (it's 45 years old):





He was confident that we would go back to the moon and even Mars eventually.

When the mission ended he said, "As we leave the moon at Taurus-Littrow, we leave as

As of yesterday, it looks like we are officially going back. President Trump has directed

Monday, December 11, 2017

Apollo 17

Last Friday, December 7, marked exactly 76 years since Japan attacked Pearl Harbor - and it also marked the launch of Apollo 17 back in 1972. Forty-five years ago a human being stood on the moon, and no one has done it since.

The Apollo Program was designed by NASA to send astronauts to the moon and return them safely to earth. Six Apollo flights accomplished that.



Friday, December 8, 2017

Tesla driver 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Yesterday's post was the BMW owner's story, today is the Ferrari owner's story:


"Finally Something to Hate About the Model S!


"I have had my P85 [Tesla Model S] for 6 months, and I have finally found something bad to say about it: owning the Model S has made me dislike my Ferrari and every other car I once loved. I paid nearly $250,000 for the Ferrari and now I don't really want to drive it. 
"After being in the Tesla, the Ferrari is loud, cramped, primitive, and stressful to drive. In fact, all my ICE vehicles now feel so archaic compared to the Model S. Starting up a car's engine now seems like an asinine waste of time (and oxygen!). Waiting for a drivetrain to "warm up" is now bewildering. Having to work the engine and transmission through revs and gears (even with a 7-speed dual-clutch transmission) was once a pleasure -- now it is just frustrating. The existence of gas stations now seems completely moronic (refuel overnight in the comfort of your own garage!). The Ferrari once felt blisteringly, scary fast (0-60 in 3.5s), but believe it or not, the P85 feels a LOT quicker than the Ferrari in the real world. (I don't think any ICE vehicle could ever compare with the instantaneous rush that the P85 provides) . . . 
"The Model S has rendered obsolete the very best cars in the world. My Ferrari is now gathering dust. Thanks a lot, Model S :)"
So interesting to me that both this driver and yesterday's driver love their Teslas for the driving experience! Most of us always thought the motive to buy an electric vehicle was just to save fossil fuels. Guess not. 

Thursday, December 7, 2017

Tesla driver 1

Reading articles for the "auto era ends" posts three weeks ago, I ran across a Ferrari owner and an M3 owner who loved their cars - but now drive a Tesla Model 3. They didn't make the switch to save the climate. They both now drive their Model 3 just for the pleasure of it.

Here's the BMW owner's story:

"My primary car starting in 2001 was a then-new BMW M3 E46. It was nimble, it was quick, it was exciting, and it was stylish and well admired. I enjoyed it for years, and it was the right car for me then. It was so successful and redefining its part of the industry that many other automakers spent years creating their own answer to that edition of M3."

He drove it for over ten years before moving on to the Tesla. 

"The M3 is an excellent car. I enjoyed it for over a decade, and, short of a V12, it's definitely the best-sounding gas engine I know with its inherently balanced inline-6 engine . . But as good as it is, the M3 has been clearly surpassed. 



Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Colleges doomed

Out of the 4,000 existing U.S. colleges and universities, about half of them won't be around in a few decades. They'll be bankrupt because so many students will be able to get their education less expensively online.

That's the prediction of a Harvard Business School professor. But he's not alone in his opinion.

"The U.S. Department of Education and Moody's Investors Service project that in the coming years, closure rates of small colleges and universities will triple."

In 2016, the average graduate had about $37,000 in student loan debt. Americans in total owe about $1.45 trillion on student loans. Let's hope that figure goes down drastically, and graduates can find other ways to spend or invest that money.

Monday, December 4, 2017

IoT #1

Internet of Things (IoT). It's things all around us connected to the internet so that humans can be freed from the task of gathering information and the task can be done without error.

Soil sensors can warn farmers that certain fields need water, for instance, though other fields don't. If the data is computed right at the field in the irrigation system, then the solution (targeted watering) can be done instantly. That would be "edge computing." 

Edge computing will also be done in a hospital context. A small computer can analyze the patient's vital signs in great detail and in real time, leading to better diagnosis and more effective intervention to prevent a life-threatening incident.

"The edge is where the action is. It’s a manufacturing floor, a building, a campus, a city, your house, a crop field, a wind farm, a power plant, an oil rig, a telecommunications outpost, a sports arena, a battlefield, in your car, in the sky or under the sea. In the future, computing is everywhere."

(from NYT, cont'd tomorrow)

Friday, December 1, 2017

Water from air

Is there really any water in the dry air of Arizona? Apparently there's more than you might think, because a professor has invented solar panels that wring drinking water out of that air. His business is called Zero Mass Water, and it makes Source Hydropanels.

photo: forbes.com

The most they will produce is five liters per day, so it's only for drinking water - not near enough for irrigation or general household use. A typical home setup would be two units, for a price of $4500 plus installation.

Pricey, if you have access to plenty of water already. But interesting, if you don't. For bottled-water-using-families, the system could pay for itself in five years.

Possible applications:

1) contamination of local water, as in Flint, Michigan
2) lack of clean water in many parts of the world
3) desire to be off-grid in terms of water supply

(from Forbes)

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Mungubariki

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Mungubariki says his farm used to look quite different from how it looks today. There were no trees, nothing to hang on to the soil when it rained. Up on Mt. Kilimanjaro the glacier was melting partly due to de-forestation in this region.

"Without knowledge of the importance of trees. people just think of today but not tomorrow. "Plant with Purpose" is changing that. What farming families do today is for future generations."


As environmental restoration is embraced, lives and land are changing in Tanzania. Birds are returning to habitats, streams are flowing again, and people have a better understanding of their role as stewards of God's creation.

"God cares about the environment, and we have a responsibility to protect it."

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Rural poverty

American farmers have their challenges, but American society has resources to work with that not every nation has. "Plant with Purpose" works to provide tools and resources that the rural poor around the world can use to lift themselves out of poverty.



Productive land and accessible water are essential. When the environment becomes degraded (example: loss of trees, land becoming desert, rain run-off), the land may stop creating a living and families may have to separate to find work.

"Plant with Purpose" links sustainable farming with environmental restoration for long-term results. Their partnering farmers heal the land, grow more food, and earn income.

(cont'd tomorrow)

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Save the farm

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Over 250,000 small-medium American farms went away from 1992-2012, while 35,000 very large (industrial) farms started up. "Multigenerational family farms are shrinking. And big farms are getting bigger . . . For the resiliency of the food system and of rural communities, we need more agriculture of the middle.”

photo: beginningfarmers.org

Polyface Farm is multi-generational: Joel Salatin's mother, Joel & Theresa, his son and wife, and his grandchildren. Part of their mission is to help smaller farmers figure out a way to profit enough to support themselves.

When Joel inherits the farm from his mom, he'll face a shocking inheritance tax - as much as $500,000. Beginning farmers have land to buy or lease. If they choose the "industrial farm" model, they may be trapped in a vicious cycle of debt for buildings, seed, and chemicals.

Shop at a farmers market to support small and medium size farms. Farmers there can sell directly to customers, side-stepping the chain of middlemen and improving their chances to keep on doing what they love.

Friday, November 24, 2017

AI at Walmart

A cross between a Roomba and, say, a Tesla, would give you . . a self-driving floor scrubber (according to this article).

"Walmart has quietly begun testing an advanced, autonomous floor scrubber . . . " Maybe we don't think of Walmart as being out in front of innovation, but they look ahead and try new things. That no doubt helped them become what they are today, America's largest private-sector employer.


"Walmart has said it wants to automate tasks that are “repeatable, predictable and manual,” giving its people more time to focus on higher-value work like customer service and selling."

Thursday, November 23, 2017

Happy boost

Gratitude is a good choice . . for so many reasons. Happy Thanksgiving!

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

1st Thanksgiving

Those pilgrims who famously shared a feast with 90 Indian neighbors back in 1621 considered their little community protected by God to be an instrument of purpose, not a recipient of privilege.

They also saw Squanto as God's special instrument of purpose. Coincidence or chance isn't good enough to explain his extraordinary story.

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Farmers market

Some of us love farmers markets, as this author does - the freshness, the beauty, the interaction with the farmers who produce the food. 

"Farmers markets facilitate personal connections and bonds of mutual benefits between farmers, shoppers, and communities. By cutting out middlemen, farmers receive more of our food dollars and shoppers receive the freshest and most flavorful food in their area and local economies prosper."


Why aren't super markets the same? According to this article, it's because they are inside the industrial food system, highly regulated by the federal government.

Unlike fruits and vegetables grown and sold to your local grocery stores, fruits and veggies sold at farmers’ markets are often unregulated and even exempted from food safety regulations,” points out SafeFruitsandVegetables. The relative lack of regulation accounts for not only the lower prices but the greater variety of produce, meats, and grains."

Think of farmer Joel Salatin and his beautiful farm.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Engage

It's possible to disagree with people, hold it back, and hide behind a wall of non-communication that you build to keep them out of your space. You may call it "tolerance," but it's phony.

If you're willing to civilly engage with someone on the level of values, it's a step toward love.

"You and I can’t interact fully with each other without interacting on the level of what we believe. If our beliefs clash, let them clash: At least we’re connecting with each other on a human level . . ."
Tolerance (in the usual contemporary sense) may be a counterfeit virtue. It contributes to disconnection and carefully camouflaged disrespect. 
Notice the word "permissive" in this definition. It's true tolerance when you permit others to believe differently on some point. Of course you "permit" them. They have God-given free will. That doesn't mean you isolate yourselves by slapping a phony agreement on the issue.
Students on college campuses - and everyone - should continue the process of growing up by thinking through issues and learning to respectfully engage with others on the level of beliefs and values. 

Friday, November 17, 2017

Tesla & Lutz

Monday-Wednesday this week, I posted about the predictions of Bob Lutz. His article has gone viral because it's a prediction of doom for the car industry - from a man who loves cars and spent decades as an industry exec. 

Last March Bob had more to say about the coming end of human-driven cars:

"As much as one side of me deplores it because I love to drive, when you look at the skills of the average driver, and the reaction times, and the incidence of alcohol and drug use as a factor in accidents, and the amount of national productive time that’s wasted in traffic jams, it is time to find a different solution."

About Tesla:

"[Musk] has no technology that’s not available to anybody else. It’s lithium-ion cobalt batteries. Every carmaker on the planet has electric vehicles in the works with a 200-300-mile range.

"Raising capital is not going to help, because fundamentally the business equation on electric cars is wrong. They cost more to build than what the public is willing to pay. That’s the bottom line.
"The one advantage [Musk] has is that the Model S is a gorgeous car. It’s one of the best-looking full-size sedans ever. . . They are unarguably a ton of fun to drive. The Tesla Model S? The one with ‘ridiculous mode’? Zero to 60 in like 2.2 seconds? That’s got to be like a shot off an aircraft carrier."
Regarding Tesla Model S, I agree with Bob Lutz that it's gorgeous. He's correct that it's a ton of fun. Its acceleration really is "like a shot off an aircraft carrier." 
Yes, I test drove a Model S this week.

Thursday, November 16, 2017

Cruise

That General Motors investment of $1 billion mentioned in yesterday's post . . was used to acquire the start-up "Cruise." Cruise has been testing their autonomous technology with employees under real conditions in Arizona, Michigan and California, but New York City is their target for 2018.



The levels of autonomous (self-driving) technology are these:

Level 1 - driver is in complete control, with aids such as cruise control
Level 2 - car can manage speed and steering as the driver chooses
Level 3 - car monitors the environment and drives itself when driver chooses
Level 4 - "cars will generally do the driving for you," but human must be available
Level 5 - car drives itself under all conditions with no human intervention

"Audi claims that the new A8 is the first production car to achieve Level 3 autonomy"

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Boring but safe

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Looks like self-driving, autonomous cars are inevitable. Both Ford and GM have each invested one billion dollars in their self-driving car projects, not to mention vast sums invested by Google, Uber, Tesla, others. Almost nobody doubts that it's going to happen.

Bob Lutz says that a tipping point is going to arrive when 20-30% of all vehicles on the road are fully autonomous. "Fully autonomous" is Level 5 self-driving technology, the ultimate - you can go to sleep in the car.


photo: autonews.com

At that point he thinks that governments will start mandating self-driving cars for safety. But there will be a transition period. "Everyone will have five years to get their [human driven] car off the road or sell it for scrap or trade it on a module."

Then, on public roads, there will only be modules. Nobody will be passing anybody because all modules will be traveling at the same (fast) speed. "That is the death knell for companies such as BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi. That kind of performance is not going to count anymore."

"Automotive sport — using the cars for fun — will survive, just not on public highways. . . It will be the well-to-do, to the amazement of all their friends, who still know how to drive and who will teach their kids how to drive. It is going to be an elitist thing, though there might be public tracks, like public golf courses, where you sign up for a certain car and you go over and have fun for a few hours."

"Automotive News is doomed. Car and Driver is done; Road & Track is done. . .The era of the human-driven automobile, its repair facilities, its dealerships, the media surrounding it — all will be gone in 20 years."

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Max 20 years

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Safety has been a big driver of the self-driving movement from the beginning. Last Friday NPR reported that lives will be saved when driverless cars become commercially available. 

Most accidents are caused by human error, which is why (according to Bob Lutz) "In 15 to 20 years — at the latest — human-driven vehicles will be legislated off the highways." It will be illegal to drive a car down the highway. How will we travel then? Standardized modules.

"The end state will be the fully autonomous module with no capability for the driver to exercise command. You will call for it, it will arrive at your location, you'll get in, input your destination and go to the freeway.


"On the freeway, it will merge seamlessly into a stream of other modules traveling at 120, 150 mph. The speed doesn't matter. You have a blending of rail-type with individual transportation.
"Then, as you approach your exit, your module will enter deceleration lanes, exit and go to your final destination. You will be billed for the transportation. You will enter your credit card number or your thumbprint or whatever it will be then. The module will take off and go to its collection point, ready for the next person to call." 
From this article
(cont'd tomorrow - end of performance cars?)

Monday, November 13, 2017

End of auto era

Electric cars & self-driving cars: I've been posting about those "disruptive" innovations for years. Everyone knows the industry is changing, but radical change may be coming faster that we thought.

Bob Lutz, whose credibility comes from a long career in executive positions with General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, etc., says sadly that:

"[W]e are approaching the end of the automotive era."

What "end" does he mean? No more driver control and no more gas-engine cars. "The era of the human-driven automobile, its repair facilities, its dealerships, the media surrounding it — all will be gone in 20 years."

This week: what he thinks will come after the end of car-world as we know it

(Btw, there are lots of comments to the article, most denying Lutz's prediction.  But a few commenters agree with Lutz, claiming that it's only rural, elderly car lovers who deny it - harsh. Lutz thinks everybody in the industry sees the end coming but few want to talk about it.)

(cont'd tomorrow)