Since July, the "Islamic State" has butchered its way across Iraq while hundreds of thousands of minority believers left their homes and ran for their lives.
Now that ISIS is in control of Mosul, the northern city where many Christians lived, things are not going back to normal. Children are going to grow up differently under "Islamic Sharia law."
"[L]essons including history, geography and literature are off the timetable. . . and [ISIS] has issued a ban on most subjects except religious studies, according to a letter sent to the local education ministry office in Mosul."
In books they can still use, every reference to the Republic of Iraq or Syria must be replaced with "Islamic State."
An elementary teacher says, "It’s 2014 but I feel we went back 14 centuries.”
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Civil discourse
Everyone of good heart would agree on this: all our societies need more civil discourse. Wikipedia describes it pretty well, I think, as "conversation intended to enhance understanding."
It requires "respect of the other participants," and "neither diminishes the other person's moral worth nor questions their good judgment."
It happens when you and another party talk about issues where you both seek to understand each other as well as the truth about the situation, and are willing to refrain from name-calling, insults, and rage. A politician and I enjoyed just this kind of talk a week ago when she came knocking on doors in our neighborhood.
Here's a potent example on the national scale. Two people on opposite sides of a red-hot issue were able to become friends - amazing. Dan Cathy (Chic-fil-A) bravely started the conversation and Shane Windmeyer bravely entered into it.
More civil discourse, please.
It requires "respect of the other participants," and "neither diminishes the other person's moral worth nor questions their good judgment."
It happens when you and another party talk about issues where you both seek to understand each other as well as the truth about the situation, and are willing to refrain from name-calling, insults, and rage. A politician and I enjoyed just this kind of talk a week ago when she came knocking on doors in our neighborhood.
Here's a potent example on the national scale. Two people on opposite sides of a red-hot issue were able to become friends - amazing. Dan Cathy (Chic-fil-A) bravely started the conversation and Shane Windmeyer bravely entered into it.
More civil discourse, please.
Monday, September 15, 2014
Golden Texas
It's being called the Golden Age of Oil and Gas in Texas. Oil and natural gas provide one-third of the whole economy of Texas. If the state were a nation, it would be the 8th largest oil-producing nation in the world and 3rd largest natural gas producer.
Some might say that's just the rich getting richer. Well, no - besides some rich people getting richer, there are lots of ways Texans in general are in on the golden age, that is, are richer.
Income in this industry: "an average wage ($125,000) that is three times the state average."
Growth of other industries: "Industries that use natural gas as a feedstock – fertilizers, chemicals, clothing, plastics, steel, and many others – have begun to invest tens of billions in new plant and equipment here in the U.S., creating domestic jobs that had been sent overseas over the last quarter century."
Job creation: " . .over the last year, Texas [added] more than 1,000 net new jobs every day, more than 390,000 for the most recent 12 month period . . . Texas has accounted for fully 35% of the nation’s job growth since the year 2000."
Government: the state has gone from billions in deficit (2007) to an anticipated surplus in 2015.
Some might say that's just the rich getting richer. Well, no - besides some rich people getting richer, there are lots of ways Texans in general are in on the golden age, that is, are richer.
Income in this industry: "an average wage ($125,000) that is three times the state average."
Growth of other industries: "Industries that use natural gas as a feedstock – fertilizers, chemicals, clothing, plastics, steel, and many others – have begun to invest tens of billions in new plant and equipment here in the U.S., creating domestic jobs that had been sent overseas over the last quarter century."
Job creation: " . .over the last year, Texas [added] more than 1,000 net new jobs every day, more than 390,000 for the most recent 12 month period . . . Texas has accounted for fully 35% of the nation’s job growth since the year 2000."
Government: the state has gone from billions in deficit (2007) to an anticipated surplus in 2015.
Friday, September 12, 2014
Computer car
Craig Venter is a scientist, one of the first to unlock the human genome. He likes technology. His favorite - among his many cars - is his Tesla Model S. Yes, he's a Tesla enthusiast.
Reported by Bloomberg Businessweek:
"When the car suffers from glitches, like the time its 17-inch touchscreen panel died, nobody had to come to his . . home to repair it.
"While I slept that night, a software engineer logged on to the car, found the problem, and fixed it," Venter says. "I mean, it changes everything about transportation. It's a computer on wheels."
Reported by Bloomberg Businessweek:
"When the car suffers from glitches, like the time its 17-inch touchscreen panel died, nobody had to come to his . . home to repair it.
"While I slept that night, a software engineer logged on to the car, found the problem, and fixed it," Venter says. "I mean, it changes everything about transportation. It's a computer on wheels."
Thursday, September 11, 2014
Warden's compassion
Warden Burl Cain (yesterday's post) says that the crime victim is not alone in his/her victimhood. Children of the criminal are also victims because they mourn the loss of their father. He says the laughter goes out of their home when that man goes to prison to pay for that crime.
To break the cycle of generational crime, he unites kids and fathers for some fun once a year so dads can mentor them in what not to do.
Angola also hosts a Rodeo where inmates can apply to participate or display and sell their creations.
To break the cycle of generational crime, he unites kids and fathers for some fun once a year so dads can mentor them in what not to do.
Angola also hosts a Rodeo where inmates can apply to participate or display and sell their creations.
Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Warden Cain
Warden Burl Cain of Louisiana State Penitentiary, also called Angola, is the longest-serving warden they've ever had. "Under his leadership, the inmate population . . has gone from regular knife fights to Bible studies." (Not the whole inmate population obviously.)
Terrible violence ruled, such that inmates would take turns guarding each other while they slept at night. Cain didn't want the job at first, warden of the "bloodiest prison" in America. But he began to pray for wisdom to change things.
They lost their Pell grants for education. Someone suggested that they bring the Bible college in to teach courses, and his response was, "have you lost your mind? They will never come here." But they did, and Cain says they changed the culture of the prison. Taxpayers put no money into the program, but they have a safer, more humane penitentiary.
Cursing is close to fighting, Cain says, so he required staff to clean up their language - all part of the whole "moral rehabilitation" culture change.
Terrible violence ruled, such that inmates would take turns guarding each other while they slept at night. Cain didn't want the job at first, warden of the "bloodiest prison" in America. But he began to pray for wisdom to change things.
They lost their Pell grants for education. Someone suggested that they bring the Bible college in to teach courses, and his response was, "have you lost your mind? They will never come here." But they did, and Cain says they changed the culture of the prison. Taxpayers put no money into the program, but they have a safer, more humane penitentiary.
Cursing is close to fighting, Cain says, so he required staff to clean up their language - all part of the whole "moral rehabilitation" culture change.
Tuesday, September 9, 2014
Prison changes
Louisiana State Penitentiary, often just called Angola, is located on the site of an old plantation by that name. Populated largely by "lifers," it used to be notorious for violence, murder, and hopelessness.
But there's been a "moral rehabilitation" under warden Burl Cain. When policeman Gary Hobbs visited, he said he didn't feel threatened, didn't hear foul language.
"In Mr. Cain’s view, the biggest change came in 1995 when, as he took over the prison and faced drastic cuts in school funds, he invited the New Orleans Baptist Theological Seminary to open a seminary. To his surprise, he said, the eminent seminary agreed, covering the costs with outside donations.
But there's been a "moral rehabilitation" under warden Burl Cain. When policeman Gary Hobbs visited, he said he didn't feel threatened, didn't hear foul language.
"In Mr. Cain’s view, the biggest change came in 1995 when, as he took over the prison and faced drastic cuts in school funds, he invited the New Orleans Baptist Theological Seminary to open a seminary. To his surprise, he said, the eminent seminary agreed, covering the costs with outside donations.
Monday, September 8, 2014
Important beauty
“You don’t have to be pretty. . you don’t owe it to civilization in general. Prettiness is not a rent you pay for occupying a space marked ‘female.’”—Diana Vreeland
Right . . sort of. Nobody should feel guilty for not having the face of a model. On the other hand, there's another way of looking at it. See if you like something about this other view from Lou Markos, "Advice to My Daughter:"
"[A] woman who spends time on her make-up and clothes, not solely for the sake of vanity, but so that she can look good for others performs an important social function. I do not speak in jest! A well-appareled, well-coiffured woman is as much a challenge (and antidote) to the ugliness and brokenness around us as a Renaissance painting . . .
"Even more, when a woman sings or dances or plays music beautifully, she casts her feminine gauntlet down before the forces of decay, corruption, and fragmentation. Such beauty will not allow itself to be swallowed up by the horrors of war, the cruelties of disease, the machinations of governments, or the injustices of the marketplace. By offering up such beauty freely and without regard for what the world considers a practical end, women draw our attentions away from that which is ephemeral to that which is lasting. In fact, precisely by being impractical, feminine beauty shows itself to be as practical as the food we eat and the air we breathe."
Right . . sort of. Nobody should feel guilty for not having the face of a model. On the other hand, there's another way of looking at it. See if you like something about this other view from Lou Markos, "Advice to My Daughter:"
"[A] woman who spends time on her make-up and clothes, not solely for the sake of vanity, but so that she can look good for others performs an important social function. I do not speak in jest! A well-appareled, well-coiffured woman is as much a challenge (and antidote) to the ugliness and brokenness around us as a Renaissance painting . . .
"Even more, when a woman sings or dances or plays music beautifully, she casts her feminine gauntlet down before the forces of decay, corruption, and fragmentation. Such beauty will not allow itself to be swallowed up by the horrors of war, the cruelties of disease, the machinations of governments, or the injustices of the marketplace. By offering up such beauty freely and without regard for what the world considers a practical end, women draw our attentions away from that which is ephemeral to that which is lasting. In fact, precisely by being impractical, feminine beauty shows itself to be as practical as the food we eat and the air we breathe."
Friday, September 5, 2014
"The Giver"
If people had order, cleanliness, no disease and no war, would that be enough? All those things are good. But the important something that is lacking in (movie) "The Giver" is liberty.
Today's Americans give lip service to personal liberty, but they haven't so far had to choose it above comfort and security - as many people all over the globe have had to do, as the American founders did.
"The Giver" brings up a good question: what if one group of people (the government) took away your right to make your own choices but at the same time equally gave you and everyone every physical comfort - would you be satisfied with that deal? Some would.
What would justify some people (bureaucrats) making other people's choices? Chief Elder played by Meryl Streep states it: "When people have the freedom to choose, they choose wrong." But she is people too, just as human . . so just as potentially wrong. Her criticism of the people applies to her. She may choose wrong.
Since I haven't read the book yet, I make no claim for that. But I do recommend the movie.
Today's Americans give lip service to personal liberty, but they haven't so far had to choose it above comfort and security - as many people all over the globe have had to do, as the American founders did.
"The Giver" brings up a good question: what if one group of people (the government) took away your right to make your own choices but at the same time equally gave you and everyone every physical comfort - would you be satisfied with that deal? Some would.
What would justify some people (bureaucrats) making other people's choices? Chief Elder played by Meryl Streep states it: "When people have the freedom to choose, they choose wrong." But she is people too, just as human . . so just as potentially wrong. Her criticism of the people applies to her. She may choose wrong.
Since I haven't read the book yet, I make no claim for that. But I do recommend the movie.
Thursday, September 4, 2014
Ugly art
Art used to aspire to the Profound and/or Inspiring and/or Beautiful. The "art community" of museum heads, critics, and gallery owners now promote the standard of New/Different/Ugly. Artistic standards have declined to the level of personal expression alone even if it is silly, pointless, or purely offensive.
Without aesthetic standards, we have no way to determine quality or inferiority.
"Why is modern art so bad?" Artist Robert Florczak doesn't mince words as he explains what so many have noticed but often don't dare to voice.
Art should elevate.
Without aesthetic standards, we have no way to determine quality or inferiority.
"Why is modern art so bad?" Artist Robert Florczak doesn't mince words as he explains what so many have noticed but often don't dare to voice.
Art should elevate.
Wednesday, September 3, 2014
Indifference?
"Genocide" is the intentional killing of a group of people, racial, ethnic, religious. The intention of Nazi Germany to exterminate all Jews is one example. But the world may be observing another one in Iraq where IS savagely targets religious minorities.
Remember the ultimatum IS gave to citizens of Mosul? Become Muslim, pay us, or we kill you - those were the options. Mosul was home to hundreds of thousands of Christians throughout the centuries since the Apostle Thomas started a church here. Those who didn't care for the options have left everything and run for their lives.
Ronald Lauder, president of the World Jewish Congress, wants to know why we haven't seen outrage from the outspoken celebrities who speak out and demonstrate for other ethnicities.
He says, "[T]he barbarous slaughter of thousands upon thousands of Christians is met with relative indifference."
Remember the ultimatum IS gave to citizens of Mosul? Become Muslim, pay us, or we kill you - those were the options. Mosul was home to hundreds of thousands of Christians throughout the centuries since the Apostle Thomas started a church here. Those who didn't care for the options have left everything and run for their lives.
Ronald Lauder, president of the World Jewish Congress, wants to know why we haven't seen outrage from the outspoken celebrities who speak out and demonstrate for other ethnicities.
He says, "[T]he barbarous slaughter of thousands upon thousands of Christians is met with relative indifference."
Tuesday, September 2, 2014
Vicar's sorrow
Canon Andrew White, called Vicar of Baghdad, has stayed with "his people" through the historic bloodbath taking place in Iraq this summer. Christians were threatened with death, and that's what some have received at the murderous hands of IS.
He communicates through a blog and a facebook page, and he tells horrific stories of what they are going through. See this BBC report on the crisis and an interview with Father Andrew.
photo: openheaven.com
Representing the Anglicans at St. George Church of Baghdad, he does conflict mediation and gives humanitarian aid to refugees of every religion and minority. His ministry has always been dangerous - but now they're living in fear and anguish.He communicates through a blog and a facebook page, and he tells horrific stories of what they are going through. See this BBC report on the crisis and an interview with Father Andrew.
Monday, September 1, 2014
Good labor
During the Middle Ages (used to be incorrectly called Dark Ages) a new view of human work developed. Though the Classics of ancient Rome and Greece considered work or labor to be the dirty duty of inferiors, the Bible demonstrates admiration and respect for human work.
Jesus tells this story of the "talents" (large sums of money in that day) in Matthew 25: A wealthy man gave some employees 1-10 talents to invest. The ones who used their talent to achieve something were praised. The timid one who did nothing with his talent was scolded.
"The Parable of the Talents shows us we will be held accountable for what we do while we wait for the return of our King," says Hugh Whelchel. "Thankfully, we are not held to some arbitrary standard. What God expects from us is based on what he has given us." Working and achieving are good things.
Think about what you are good at. It probably gives you a great feeling to produce good results in your area of giftedness. I think God is pleased with that. He gave you the aptitude so you could work it, whatever it is. All the rest of us are blessed that you do it well.
Jesus tells this story of the "talents" (large sums of money in that day) in Matthew 25: A wealthy man gave some employees 1-10 talents to invest. The ones who used their talent to achieve something were praised. The timid one who did nothing with his talent was scolded.
"The Parable of the Talents shows us we will be held accountable for what we do while we wait for the return of our King," says Hugh Whelchel. "Thankfully, we are not held to some arbitrary standard. What God expects from us is based on what he has given us." Working and achieving are good things.
Think about what you are good at. It probably gives you a great feeling to produce good results in your area of giftedness. I think God is pleased with that. He gave you the aptitude so you could work it, whatever it is. All the rest of us are blessed that you do it well.
Monday, August 25, 2014
August break
This week my husband and I are taking some time off, including a short break from writing. I'll be back next week, so re-join me on Monday, September 1, for America's "Labor Day" holiday. Enjoy the rest of your summer :)
Friday, August 22, 2014
Buy nothing year
A couple of roommates, Geoffrey and Julie, decided to buy nothing for a whole year - just put money into savings. They got a lot of attention for it, even became a "national news sensation."
What had to go? Well, hair appointments. Julie had been spending $1000/year on her hair, Geoffrey $150/month. The other big thing was going out to restaurants and coffee shops.
Julie says, "I used to constantly want things — more, better, nicer and cheaper. I haven’t done that in a year, so my life is richer."
Geoff saved over $40k in his year, and he intends to keep on saving a lot of his paycheck. "If I save enough, I can look at other career paths not focused on money because I have this huge buffer and I’ve learned how to live on a lot less, which is a skill that will serve me for the rest of my life."
What had to go? Well, hair appointments. Julie had been spending $1000/year on her hair, Geoffrey $150/month. The other big thing was going out to restaurants and coffee shops.
Julie says, "I used to constantly want things — more, better, nicer and cheaper. I haven’t done that in a year, so my life is richer."
Geoff saved over $40k in his year, and he intends to keep on saving a lot of his paycheck. "If I save enough, I can look at other career paths not focused on money because I have this huge buffer and I’ve learned how to live on a lot less, which is a skill that will serve me for the rest of my life."
Thursday, August 21, 2014
Speak up
Michael Hyatt has built a life and business by speaking up about important things. People value his messages - I say that with certainty because his blog has 421,000+ subscribers!
In "Why Wait for Permission?" he urges us to speak up at meetings:
"[N]ot speaking up, not acting, not leading cheats everyone in at least three ways:
"[N]ot speaking up, not acting, not leading cheats everyone in at least three ways:
- It cheats your superiors. It’s a disappointment to the people who wanted you there to contribute. No one gets invited to suck up the room’s oxygen.
- It cheats the group. Important learning is on the line. If you speak up and your ideas are good, everyone benefits. If you speak up and you get corrected, there’s still a benefit for everyone. The truly humble are capable of serving the team regardless of the outcome.
- It cheats you. Holding back might feel like a benefit to you, but it’s a cheap win: The only thing you buy is your comfort. No personal improvement. No esteem in the eyes of your colleagues. No contribution to the organization."
Wednesday, August 20, 2014
1st generation faith
(cont'd)
Author Rod Dreher (The Little Way of Ruthie Leming) as a teenager
rejected his parents' Christianity along with their small town point of view, but he chose genuine faith later - on his own, starting with an experience in the cathedral of Chartres, France.
Chartres photo: destination360.com
He sensed there that God was challenging his view of reality, the one overwhelming impression that stayed with him after that first trip to Europe. It's not a common track to faith, but God doesn't shrink from using whatever you give Him to work with. Rod eventually became Catholic.So where does he stand today? From his blog last week:
"I pray that the choice is never put to me, but if I am ever forced to make that choice [between serving the state or God], I will always and everywhere choose God, without apology. I am a Christian first, and an American second."
It's been said that all Christians are first generation Christians (they didn't get faith in their genes). Rod certainly is.
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Small town, good life
(cont'd: The Little Way of Ruthie Leming)
Author Rod Dreher contrasted his life with that of his sister Ruthie and saw, from the position of adulthood, things of value that he didn't notice as an awkward teenager. Her friends, teaching colleagues, children she'd taught, all came to honor her life when she died. News spread, and there was food, a cleaned house, her daughter's car fixed, all there when the family came home drained from the hospital.
He had to take note that Ruthie's family had a "deep bench" of meaningful connections. In their big city life, his own family had friends but not deep roots.
That's where stories like this usually end. Roots are better, the rebellious boy comes back home. But it's not the end of this story.
Some of that discontentedness he felt as a boy was due to genuine failures among the hometown people, including Ruthie, and he doesn't flinch from telling that part of the story.
Author Rod Dreher contrasted his life with that of his sister Ruthie and saw, from the position of adulthood, things of value that he didn't notice as an awkward teenager. Her friends, teaching colleagues, children she'd taught, all came to honor her life when she died. News spread, and there was food, a cleaned house, her daughter's car fixed, all there when the family came home drained from the hospital.
He had to take note that Ruthie's family had a "deep bench" of meaningful connections. In their big city life, his own family had friends but not deep roots.
That's where stories like this usually end. Roots are better, the rebellious boy comes back home. But it's not the end of this story.
Some of that discontentedness he felt as a boy was due to genuine failures among the hometown people, including Ruthie, and he doesn't flinch from telling that part of the story.
Monday, August 18, 2014
Hometown, USA
This week's re-posts tell the story of a teenager who fled from his hometown, his family, and his faith - only to gratefully come back as a professional adult. Today's post was originally published August 27, 2013.
It sounded like a sentimental, mushy story line. But Erik Metaxas strongly recommends the book. That carries some weight for me, so I read The Little Way of Ruthie Leming and I'm glad I did.
Conflicted feelings abound because the author left his small Southern hometown young - he rejected everything about it and couldn't wait to get away. He gladly left his family and the town, went to the Big City, and built a career.
His sister Ruthie loved the little hometown and its people, and they loved her. She stayed and raised her own family close to them. When cancer took her life at the age of 42, it drew her brother Rod (the author) back into the environment he abandoned and he saw goodness in the community that he'd never appreciated.
He brought his family back to the small town. He says: "The familiar used to feel oppressive; now it feels comforting.
It sounded like a sentimental, mushy story line. But Erik Metaxas strongly recommends the book. That carries some weight for me, so I read The Little Way of Ruthie Leming and I'm glad I did.
Conflicted feelings abound because the author left his small Southern hometown young - he rejected everything about it and couldn't wait to get away. He gladly left his family and the town, went to the Big City, and built a career.
His sister Ruthie loved the little hometown and its people, and they loved her. She stayed and raised her own family close to them. When cancer took her life at the age of 42, it drew her brother Rod (the author) back into the environment he abandoned and he saw goodness in the community that he'd never appreciated.
He brought his family back to the small town. He says: "The familiar used to feel oppressive; now it feels comforting.
Friday, August 15, 2014
Market connecting
She wants to go home, that farmer from yesterday's post. Why does she want to go back to her home village? Because she invested time there building a life, making connections with other people in her village.
A market can help that happen. Part of the appeal of farmers' markets is connecting with people in your community, getting to know them and what they have to offer. Here's a story about one family who participates in their farmers' market.
Independence is so American, in the opinion of French aristocrat Alexis de Toqueville (in 1835 he published Democracy in America to explain us to France). But he also observed Americans voluntarily organizing all sorts of joint efforts.
“Local freedom . . leads a great number of citizens to value the affection of their neighbors and of their kindred, perpetually brings men together . . "
Yup, Americans are independent but we love doing things together.
A market can help that happen. Part of the appeal of farmers' markets is connecting with people in your community, getting to know them and what they have to offer. Here's a story about one family who participates in their farmers' market.
mfma.org
Independence is so American, in the opinion of French aristocrat Alexis de Toqueville (in 1835 he published Democracy in America to explain us to France). But he also observed Americans voluntarily organizing all sorts of joint efforts.
“Local freedom . . leads a great number of citizens to value the affection of their neighbors and of their kindred, perpetually brings men together . . "
Yup, Americans are independent but we love doing things together.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
Whether they want it or not
(cont'd)
Beyond the trillions of dollars that forced urbanization is going to cost, there's a human cost to tearing people from their homes and placing them where the government wants them to go.
“I have anxiety attacks because we have no income, no job, nothing,” said Feng Aiju, 40, a former farmer who moved to Huaming in 2008 against her will. . “We never had a chance to speak; we were never asked anything. I want to go home.”
“Chinese culture has traditionally been rural-based,” says Feng Jicai, a well-known author and scholar. “Once the villages are gone, the culture is gone.”
"Over the past five years, at least 39 farmers have resorted to this drastic form of protest [suicide]. The figures, pieced together from Chinese news reports and human rights organizations, are a stark reminder of how China’s new wave of urbanization is at times a violent struggle between a powerful state and stubborn farmers."
Beyond the trillions of dollars that forced urbanization is going to cost, there's a human cost to tearing people from their homes and placing them where the government wants them to go.
“I have anxiety attacks because we have no income, no job, nothing,” said Feng Aiju, 40, a former farmer who moved to Huaming in 2008 against her will. . “We never had a chance to speak; we were never asked anything. I want to go home.”
“Chinese culture has traditionally been rural-based,” says Feng Jicai, a well-known author and scholar. “Once the villages are gone, the culture is gone.”
"Over the past five years, at least 39 farmers have resorted to this drastic form of protest [suicide]. The figures, pieced together from Chinese news reports and human rights organizations, are a stark reminder of how China’s new wave of urbanization is at times a violent struggle between a powerful state and stubborn farmers."
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Urbanizing "pitfalls"
(cont'd)
Last summer the New York Times ran a series about China's urbanization project. Highlighted is a Mr. Li who is in charge of relocating 2+ million people from rural mountains to low-lying cities. He admits that there are "pitfalls."
True to communist ideology, he is very confident that The Party knows better than the people what is good for them. "[M]odern-day Communist Party officials like Mr. Li speak knowingly of what is best for China’s 1.3 billion people, where they should live and how they should earn a living."
One of the pitfalls lies in the question of how these rural migrants are going to make a living in the cities. No article I've seen yet has revealed a plan for long-term careers. New apartments with more modern features abound, but they will have to be paid for.
The article's author visited and found people floundering with the transition:
"During a visit in February, townspeople sat in their front yards, huddled around open fires. Their homes were brand-new, with indoor heating and modern appliances, just as Mr. Li’s plan envisions, but it all runs on an unaffordable luxury: electricity. Hence the fires to keep warm."
Said one migrant, " . . we don’t heat or even use the washing machine.”
Last summer the New York Times ran a series about China's urbanization project. Highlighted is a Mr. Li who is in charge of relocating 2+ million people from rural mountains to low-lying cities. He admits that there are "pitfalls."
True to communist ideology, he is very confident that The Party knows better than the people what is good for them. "[M]odern-day Communist Party officials like Mr. Li speak knowingly of what is best for China’s 1.3 billion people, where they should live and how they should earn a living."
One of the pitfalls lies in the question of how these rural migrants are going to make a living in the cities. No article I've seen yet has revealed a plan for long-term careers. New apartments with more modern features abound, but they will have to be paid for.
The article's author visited and found people floundering with the transition:
"During a visit in February, townspeople sat in their front yards, huddled around open fires. Their homes were brand-new, with indoor heating and modern appliances, just as Mr. Li’s plan envisions, but it all runs on an unaffordable luxury: electricity. Hence the fires to keep warm."
Said one migrant, " . . we don’t heat or even use the washing machine.”
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Urbanizing challenges
(cont'd)
China's rulers are banking on strong economic growth to come from their plan to transform rural villagers into city dwellers. They expect these new urbanites to escalate their consumption, i.e. buy more goods, thus expanding their economy.
Of course, this assumes they'll have money to spend: first from government payments and then, when that runs out, from wages. But will there be jobs for them? Not much after about the age of 50, and then "most are still excluded from national pension plans, putting pressure on relatives to provide."
Jobs must be created. Vast amounts of money must be spent on infrastructure and services like schools and healthcare.
The size of this project is staggering: remember that America's population is about 300 million - and the Chinese government intends to move 250 million people out of their countryside into mushrooming and combined cities.
Added to economic dangers, there will be social stress. “Across China, bulldozers are leveling villages that date to long-ago dynasties." In the photo above a man scavenges among the ruins of his old village.
China's rulers are banking on strong economic growth to come from their plan to transform rural villagers into city dwellers. They expect these new urbanites to escalate their consumption, i.e. buy more goods, thus expanding their economy.
photo: nytimes.com
Jobs must be created. Vast amounts of money must be spent on infrastructure and services like schools and healthcare.
The size of this project is staggering: remember that America's population is about 300 million - and the Chinese government intends to move 250 million people out of their countryside into mushrooming and combined cities.
Added to economic dangers, there will be social stress. “Across China, bulldozers are leveling villages that date to long-ago dynasties." In the photo above a man scavenges among the ruins of his old village.
Monday, August 11, 2014
China urbanizing
Continuing with a look back to a year ago, this week the subject is China's aggressive urbanization. The following was posted originally June 24, 2013.
China's government is forcibly moving 250 million people from their farms and villages into cities. Their thinking? City people consume more, so more economic growth will ensue.
“In a lot of cases in China, urbanization is the process of local government driving farmers into buildings while grabbing their land,” said Li Dun, a professor of public policy at Tsinghua University in Beijing.
A frenzy of building is producing high rise apartment buildings for former farmers. Some are glad to get a free apartment from the government, and some free initial money, but there may be social consequences when government uproots millions of people from their homes and way of life.
“For old people like us, there’s nothing to do anymore,” said He Shifang, 45, a farmer from the city of Ankang in Shaanxi Province who was relocated from her family’s farm in the mountains. “Up in the mountains we worked all the time. We had pigs and chickens. Here we just sit around and people play mah-jongg.”
"Relocated" . . the government took her farm and forced her into a city apartment? If it were me, I would really hate that.
China's government is forcibly moving 250 million people from their farms and villages into cities. Their thinking? City people consume more, so more economic growth will ensue.
“In a lot of cases in China, urbanization is the process of local government driving farmers into buildings while grabbing their land,” said Li Dun, a professor of public policy at Tsinghua University in Beijing.
A frenzy of building is producing high rise apartment buildings for former farmers. Some are glad to get a free apartment from the government, and some free initial money, but there may be social consequences when government uproots millions of people from their homes and way of life.
"Relocated" . . the government took her farm and forced her into a city apartment? If it were me, I would really hate that.
Friday, August 8, 2014
Exploding Nigeria
Nigeria's population "is expected to [equal and then] surpass that of the US by 2050, according to new UN projections that predict the west African country could be the world's third most populous by the end of this century."
So, that's like putting all the current citizens of the U.S. (around 300 million) into a country roughly the size of Texas. What if one-third to one-half of this huge number are unable to support themselves? Officially Nigeria's unemployment rate is 24%, but the rate among people age 24 and younger is at least 38% and maybe as much as 80% (if the World Bank is correct).
People want jobs, as a Washington Post article five months ago reports:
"At least 16 people were killed in desperate stampedes for government jobs in Nigeria when hundreds of thousands were invited to apply for fewer than 5,000 positions . . ."
Sounds like there's an urgent need for wealth creators and the jobs that come along with that. But wealth creation requires orderly stability, among other things, and "Right now, many African countries aren't particularly adept at either governance or resource management. If they don't improve, exploding population growth could only worsen resource competition . ."
So, that's like putting all the current citizens of the U.S. (around 300 million) into a country roughly the size of Texas. What if one-third to one-half of this huge number are unable to support themselves? Officially Nigeria's unemployment rate is 24%, but the rate among people age 24 and younger is at least 38% and maybe as much as 80% (if the World Bank is correct).
People want jobs, as a Washington Post article five months ago reports:
"At least 16 people were killed in desperate stampedes for government jobs in Nigeria when hundreds of thousands were invited to apply for fewer than 5,000 positions . . ."
Sounds like there's an urgent need for wealth creators and the jobs that come along with that. But wealth creation requires orderly stability, among other things, and "Right now, many African countries aren't particularly adept at either governance or resource management. If they don't improve, exploding population growth could only worsen resource competition . ."
Thursday, August 7, 2014
Expanding Nigeria
While most of the world's countries are shrinking their population, only a very few are poised for population expansion. Nigeria is one of these.
photo: www.eco-friendly-africa-travel.com
According to these United Nations charts, by the year 2100 the populations of most of the world will have plateaued or shrunk. But Nigeria's is expected to expand to near one billion - close to China's forecasted number in 2100.
"Given that Nigeria is about the area of Texas, that's a truly astounding possibility."
Wednesday, August 6, 2014
Shrinking Japan
(cont'd)
In Japan, the government has for many years been paying its citizens to have more children without successfully moving the birth rate up to replacement level (2.1 babies per woman). Many programs, but the total fertility rate is still only 1.39 babies per woman: way, way below replacement.
"At the current fertility rate, by 2100 Japan's population will be less than half what it is now." Picture what that would look like - less than half as many people and most of them over the age of 65.
Sociologist Masahiro Yamada coined a new term: Parasaito shinguru, or "parasite single." Harsh words for a working woman who lives with her parents and spends her entire paycheck on trendy clothes, travel, restaurants - instead of building a family.
"Immigration is being approached as a last resort. . The United Nations estimates that without raising its fertility rate, Japan would need to attract about 650,000 immigrants a year. There is no precedent for that level of immigration in this country, which is still a largely homogenous society.
(some content from What to Expect When No One's Expecting)
In Japan, the government has for many years been paying its citizens to have more children without successfully moving the birth rate up to replacement level (2.1 babies per woman). Many programs, but the total fertility rate is still only 1.39 babies per woman: way, way below replacement.
"At the current fertility rate, by 2100 Japan's population will be less than half what it is now." Picture what that would look like - less than half as many people and most of them over the age of 65.
Sociologist Masahiro Yamada coined a new term: Parasaito shinguru, or "parasite single." Harsh words for a working woman who lives with her parents and spends her entire paycheck on trendy clothes, travel, restaurants - instead of building a family.
"Immigration is being approached as a last resort. . The United Nations estimates that without raising its fertility rate, Japan would need to attract about 650,000 immigrants a year. There is no precedent for that level of immigration in this country, which is still a largely homogenous society.
(some content from What to Expect When No One's Expecting)
Tuesday, August 5, 2014
Shrinking Germany
(cont'd)
For decades in America, urban planning has meant (very roughly) organizing the building up of cities for more people. This is not the mission in Germany. They're working on shrinking cities.
Hoyerswerda near the Polish border has lost half its population in the last 30 years. "The main job of Hoyerswerda's government these days is demolishing abandoned buildings," and a third of housing has already been torn down. By 2050, it's expected that one of every three people (including little kids) in Germany will be over 65. Picture what that will look like.
Hoyerswerda near the Polish border has lost half its population in the last 30 years. "The main job of Hoyerswerda's government these days is demolishing abandoned buildings," and a third of housing has already been torn down. By 2050, it's expected that one of every three people (including little kids) in Germany will be over 65. Picture what that will look like.
"[D]espite spending $265 billion a year on family subsidies, experts say the government is not doing enough claiming Germany needs an overhaul of values, customs and attitudes."
"[A] recent study by Europe's Population Policy Acceptance Study found that 23 per cent of German men thought 'zero' was the ideal family size."
(some content from What to Expect When No One's Expecting)
"[A] recent study by Europe's Population Policy Acceptance Study found that 23 per cent of German men thought 'zero' was the ideal family size."
(some content from What to Expect When No One's Expecting)
Monday, August 4, 2014
Less people
Originally posted May 6, 2013. This series on shrinking and aging populations is the subject of the week.
Only 3% of the world's people live in a country with rising population. Those countries are in Africa and in the Middle East.
Everywhere else in the world, the birth rate is going down.
A birth rate of 2.1 births per woman is required to maintain a stable population. In Germany, the total fertility rate is 1.42 births per woman. The rest of Europe is also well below 2.1, and Japan and China are even lower according to What to Expect When No One's Expecting.
Central and South America have seen their birth rates tumble from previously high numbers down to 2.1 - 2.8 and they're expected to descend further before very long.
Serious consequences are probably unavoidable because this is a cultural thing that exists in the minds of people, a choice. It's not because of a temporary thing like war or disease: it's the choice of reproducing-age adults all over the world. (Surprisingly, certain parts of America don't participate in disappearing birth rate syndrome.)
Everywhere else in the world, the birth rate is going down.
A birth rate of 2.1 births per woman is required to maintain a stable population. In Germany, the total fertility rate is 1.42 births per woman. The rest of Europe is also well below 2.1, and Japan and China are even lower according to What to Expect When No One's Expecting.
Central and South America have seen their birth rates tumble from previously high numbers down to 2.1 - 2.8 and they're expected to descend further before very long.
Serious consequences are probably unavoidable because this is a cultural thing that exists in the minds of people, a choice. It's not because of a temporary thing like war or disease: it's the choice of reproducing-age adults all over the world. (Surprisingly, certain parts of America don't participate in disappearing birth rate syndrome.)
Friday, August 1, 2014
Not entrepreneurial
There's usually somebody on the internet who can dispute anything said with authority by someone else. For instance, "millennials are entrepreneurial." That's widely thought to be true - except by this author at Entrepreneur magazine:
"Millennials . . are less interested in becoming successful entrepreneurs than baby boomers were when they were the same age. The share of college freshmen that said “becoming successful in a business of my own” was “essential” or “very important” to them dropped from 47.9 percent in 1977 to 41.2 percent in 2012."
So . . yesterday's point is refuted today?
Another interesting stat given in the article: "The average profits of a sole proprietorship – which account for three-quarter of all small businesses – dropped 28 percent in inflation-adjusted terms between 1980 and 2011 . . "
I should look into the "why" for that.
"Millennials . . are less interested in becoming successful entrepreneurs than baby boomers were when they were the same age. The share of college freshmen that said “becoming successful in a business of my own” was “essential” or “very important” to them dropped from 47.9 percent in 1977 to 41.2 percent in 2012."
So . . yesterday's point is refuted today?
Another interesting stat given in the article: "The average profits of a sole proprietorship – which account for three-quarter of all small businesses – dropped 28 percent in inflation-adjusted terms between 1980 and 2011 . . "
I should look into the "why" for that.
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