Tuesday, March 8, 2016

"Oh boy"

The flow of immigrants into Europe over the last several decades has been changing Europe. It raises a new concern that reminds me of China.

China's situation rises from years of one-child policy - it's the imbalance between the genders. Many couples prefer a boy if they can only have one child. So there's a generation growing up with considerably more males than females.

Immigrants now coming to Europe from the Middle East are trending heavily toward more males and younger age. Asylum applicants in the lasts 12 months were 73% male, up from 68% in 2012. That's a big imbalance.

According to this article at The Economist, immigration will actually shift some nations' balance between the sexes for their age group. Germany is not expected to see this kind of shift, but Sweden, Hungary, Austria and Norway very well may. 

If Sweden accepts all applicants, the current wave of immigration will produce a national ratio of 116 men to every 100 women. "This is worrisome. Skewed sex ratios would mean lots of sexually frustrated young men, which is a recipe for trouble."

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