Too many? 4

Earth now supports more than double its population--at a higher standard of living--compared to what it did back in the 1970's, when the overpopulation panic started. 

After decades of alarmist warnings that the world can't support any more of us, actual evidence--cited in the last three posts--is piling up in favor of the opposite view. We earthlings are better off with more people, and in more danger long term from falling birth rates.

But the global trend today is a birth rate so low that some countries will never be able to recover from it. 

To exactly replace their population total, a country needs an average birth rate per woman of 2.1. Only one region of the world still has births above that rate. Check out birth rates for over 200 countries here. A few examples: Italy 1.26, Germany 1.46, USA 1.84, Paraguay 1.88, Congo 5.49, Japan 1.4. Generally, the poorest countries have the most births. Europe, long term, may be in trouble (image).

Before the end of this century, global population will start its relentless decline and will never stop, according to one social researcher. Result? The end of human progress in solving difficult problems.

from Stream

Too many? 3

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Re-post from 2013

Thomas Malthus in 1798 predicted that humans would multiply on the earth until the earth could no longer sustain them.  Paul and Anne Ehrlich in 1970 published The Population Bomb which predicted, on the basis of Malthus, a future of massive global starvations.  What did happen was the opposite of that (yesterday's post).

What did they miss, since this does happen among animals? The vole population (a sort of mouse) can multiply to the point of outpacing their food supply.  

But people are "More Than Voles," as Eric Metaxas put it.  Created by their own Creator to create, humans can create their own niche to support themselves.  Homo sapiens are not utterly dependent on the natural environment like animals but rather can create wealth.  

According to the materialist (there is no supernatural) worldview, humans are just animals. According to the Christian worldview, humans bear the likeness of their Creator.  

God gave humans "the intelligence to complete the work of creation . . for their own good and that of their neighbors."

Too many? 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

In yesterday's video you saw that mainline media, elites, the president at that time, were all persuaded that a population crisis had erupted because about 3.5 billion humans lived on this planet. You saw Ehrlich unapologetically maintaining his panicky tone years later.

Today our global population has more than doubled at 8+ billion. Did that result in more suffering in terms of life expectancy, food supply, child mortality, air quality, etc? 

No. As it turned out, life on Earth is actually better by these metrics despite huge population growth.

1. Across the world, people are living longer
2. Food supply has not declined in the last fifty years, but has grown to a new level 
3. Child mortality has dropped across all income levels
4. "In many countries, people breathe the cleanest air in centuries"

But how can that be? What's the explanation?

(cont'd tomorrow)

Too many?

Many people have the impression that we urgently need to reduce the number of people making their home on this planet. They may argue that it would be best for human beings now living and for those on Earth in the future. Or, they may argue that nature deserves to have Earth to itself with no human population.

Why would declining numbers be better for people? Mostly because they believe that our human population is unsustainably using the planet's resources; that is, consuming too much with the result that there won't be enough for future generations.

Some call it "overshoot." In other words, they foresee coming deforestation, biodiversity loss, soil erosion yielding insufficient food, pollution and reduction of fresh water--all coming because our global population uses natural resources at a faster rate than Earth can keep generating.

A very short summary of this view that there are too many human beings was made by David Attenborough, saying that humans have "overrun the planet." 

Author of The Population Bomb, Paul Ehrlich, persuaded much of America that we had to quit producing so many people:

from The Stream

Robovan

What else is Tesla working on? A year ago, the "robovan" was revealed. It will transport up to 20 people, has a futuristic look, and of course it's an autonomous vehicle.

It will serve a function similar to our current bus system . . but it's still just a prototype so far. The rider cost per mile may potentially be 5-20 cents. Sounds good, but it's far from ready to go.

Pie & AI

Are you using artificial intelligence yet to aid you in day-to-day challenges and questions? Here's a down-to-earth story from my own life.

We spent Thanksgiving Day with beloved relatives. My part was simply to bring the pumpkin pie, which I've done many times and was happy to do. But this time I had a complicated math problem to figure out. So, of course, I asked Grok to give me a hand! 

Here's the problem I had. I prepared pumpkin filling according to a recipe for a deep dish 9-inch pie pan. But I was going to use a standard 9-inch pie pan. How much filling (measured in cups only) should I put in the smaller, standard 9-inch crust?

It took only seconds for Grok to answer fully, with sophisticated math and reasoning but in simple terms which were easy to execute. 

Squanto 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

One of them was Squanto, about 22+ years old. As a boy on the east coast of North America, he had been captured by explorers for slavery. Monks in Spain listened to his story, treated him kindly, and sent him to London, England, where he might find passage back to his home.

Ten years later he did return, only to discover that everyone in his home village had died of disease. He found the surviving Pilgrims in the spring, right where he had lived as a boy. He became a friend and taught them the skills they needed.

Squanto and his friendship and knowledge seemed like a miracle to the Pilgrims. A feast day was held to thank God for their first harvest, the Thanksgiving tradition we still keep. They welcomed 90 braves and their Chief Massasoit to the celebration feast.

Squanto 1

Puritans coming to the new world from Europe in the 17th century wanted freedom to practice their sincere Christian faith, religious freedom they didn't have back home in England. They got some financial backing from investors and crossed the Atlantic on the Mayflower.

Just in time for a winter of severe suffering alone in the dark season: no homes, no food except the little they brought, no government support, no modern medicine--nothing but sickness and freezing and starvation. About half couldn't make it. 

By springtime, it didn't look good for the grieving 50-or-so survivors either. They were praying for help . . and a miracle showed up.

Two young Indian men walked in one day, and said in effect, Hello there!

from The Mayflower

(cont'd tomorrow)

Luck Day

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Is it old fashioned and cringey to thank God on this national holiday like they did 404 years ago? It's antiquated in the view of many of today's Americans who believe there's no personal God.  Maybe they'd like to change the name of our holiday from Thanksgiving Day to "Luck Day." But it would inspire nobody.

A choice to look for blessing and give thanks to God changes our mindset from despair to hope based on statements like Jeremiah 29:11 from the Bible:

"For I know the thoughts and plans that I have for you, says the Lord, thoughts and plans for welfare and peace and not for evil, to give you hope in your final outcome."

Don't resign yourself to adopting the philosophy of "Luck Day."

Give Thanks

 It's Thanksgiving week! Let's observe this good holiday and give thanks for our blessings! . . despite Christmas music at the mall 😏

Thankfulness in 1621

President Lincoln started a recurrent, scheduled Thanksgiving holiday in America. But that wasn't the first time Americans observed a day of giving thanks to God.

You probably know that the ship Mayflower brought colonists to the coast of North America in November (November!) of 1620, and that about half of them died that first winter (I'd guess the rest were very, very uncomfortable).  

But the next summer was productive, and the remaining 40 pilgrims plus 90 Indians enjoyed a three-day autumn feast together.  Here's one of the first-person accounts of that feast, taken from a letter: 

"Our harvest being gotten in, our governor sent four men on fowling, that so we might after a special manner rejoice together after we had gathered the fruit of our labors. . . [A]mongst our recreations, we exercised our arms, many of the Indians coming amongst us . . their greatest king Massasoit, with some 90 men, whom for three days we entertained and feasted . . . [B]y the goodness of God, we are so far from want that we often wish you partakers of our plenty."  (from The Book of Thanksgiving by Paul Dickson)

AeroSphere

A stunning product was revealed this week by Tesla: the AeroSphere.

Eventually there will be more information - but so far, this is all I've seen:

Trust AI?

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

A parent who is willing to hand over hours of his child's conversation to AI (Tuesday's post) may be training him or her to trust that voice for everything. 

Eventually bad people will use AI for bad purposes. It's the perfect tool for deception. Why? Check out this re-post from 2023:

Fear of AI 5

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

There's no doubt AI can be used positively in many ways, like in healthcare diagnosis.  If you watched Khan's tutor video yesterday, you know the tutor bot looks helpful and very convincing. It's easy to assume the AI tutor is thinking. But actually, AI doesn't understand anything. It just surveys relevant internet content and arranges it per its algorithm instructions. When a student asks it for ethics advice, he will get the opinion/algorithm designed by the AI tutor's programmer at Khan Academy. May be good, may not be good.

And that's why it's dangerous. It sounds very much like us (that's intentional), but it's not a person. It doesn't understand the difference between true and false. It "makes stuff up," as the MIT article says.

That's why Hinton is worried: “It is hard to see how you can prevent the bad actors from using it for bad things . . I console myself with the normal excuse: If I hadn’t done it, somebody else would have.”

How would bad actors use it for bad things? It's a perfect tool for deception, for fake news, for manipulation, for corrupt politicians. Will we get to the point where we trust nobody?

Trust ChatGPT?

AI should be understood to be potentially dangerous. All of us need to learn how to use AI, but also to learn what AI does not do well. Here's a 2023 post showing a serious weakness:

"I" in AI? #2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Gathering and processing data is the function of narrow, or weak, artificial intelligence. It can analyze  immense amounts of data and answer questions based on data it gathers. That helps human beings reach conclusions, and it saves us from doing all the data gathering.

But it's not equal to the kind of intelligence humans have. It doesn't question the truth of the data it gathers, and it doesn't really understand what the words mean. That's why ChatGPT can write an article based on common word sequences on the internet, but it can also make big and obvious errors like this:

Human: How many bears have Russians sent into space? ChatGPT: According to estimates, about 49 bears have been sent into space by Russia since 1957

Humans will continue to improve ChatGPT and other "large language models" like it. But this college professor is cautious:

"My fear is that people will be so bedazzled by articulate LLMs that they trust computers to make decisions that have important consequences."

from Mind Matters

Toddlers & ChatGPT

Looks like some parents find it easy to offload some of their parental responsibility to ChatGPT.

A dad admitted that he got tired of listening to his little boy talk about trains, so he gave the 4-year-old his phone so he could talk to ChatGPT. The child talked with it for two hours, unsupervised.

It seems that some parents do the same at bedtime because the voice is soothing. 

In effect, these parents invite and enable people whom they don't know to speak into their child's life. Would they ever bring in a complete stranger off the street to care for the child for a few hours? They have no idea what that voice on the phone is going to say to her or him. 

Caution is warranted. It's no secret that touchscreen devices can have various bad effects.

Ultimately, your instinct that your child needs you, not just entertainment, is correct. 

from Futurism

Fasting 19 hours

A whole day and a half of fasting (last week's post) can be intimidating. Here's some help toward making a start, with information on just a 19-hour fast: for most of us, that's more doable than 36 hours. 

But it's still not that easy. It will help if you're very motivated to defeat cancer or just to maintain good health.

So here's information about how it will affect your body. The narrator is a Radiation Oncology Therapist.

Is AI true? 2

 (cont'd from yesterday's post)

Yes, there's a lot of room for interpretation of simple data. Just look at the way the Oregon Department of Education thinks math should be taught. Even a math fact like 2+2=4 can be "re-imagined" and "re-interpreted". Their claim that 2+2 may be 5 is just not true.

Do all people want the truth when they ask a question? Sure. 

But they may still be ok with giving untrue answers to other people . . if they don't like what would result from giving a truthful answer. Everybody is tempted to give answers that they prefer (true or not) and builders of software are just as human as everybody else. Their ideology, their favorite opinions, are built into their software. See below Gemini AI's image of Nazi soldiers in World War II (hint: no people of color would ever have been Nazi soldiers):

Do AI systems claim to present true information? Not to my knowledge. Except for Elon Musk. He says of his AI system, "The goal of Grok is the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. We will never be perfect, but we shall nonetheless strive towards that goal."

Grok has been trained to look for the truth. Of course it won't be perfect. But as far as I can tell, the other systems don't even make it a goal. That's enough for me. I'm using Grok.

Is AI true?

Artificial intelligence exploded into public life just a few years ago but it's changing our lives, as so many have predicted.

Nvidia, a major force driving the movement, describes it this way: "AI can be thought of as the development of computer systems that can perform tasks autonomously, ingesting and analyzing enormous volumes of data, then recognizing patterns in that data."

NASA uses the government's definition, which you might summarize this way: "An artificial system designed to think or act like a human."

IBM says there are three types. The only one currently operating, as John Lennox once explained, is "Narrow AI" which can only perform the task it was trained to do. "General AI" will have human intelligence, and "Super AI" will surpass human intelligence. They're still theoretical.

When we ask AI a question, do we want its answer to be true: factual, based on reality, accurate? Yes, and we assume it is. But there's a lot of room for interpretation or opinion on any given topic. How was it trained . . and whose integrity or values were built into it?

(cont'd tomorrow)

Fasting 36 hours

For several years I've been doing intermittent fasting, and I plan to keep it up. Lots of information has been published about the good effect it has on your health. 

As an example, autophagy sets in after about 18-20 hours of fasting. 

Here's an entertaining way of communicating the message:

Why Mamdani? 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Some thought that the specter of socialism was chased out of America by the fall of Russian communism, and by changing politics in the U.S. But it's still strong. It just won the election in NYC.

A quote in yesterday's post, "I'm a college student--and I want a future," comes from her belief that her financial future will be best under Mamdani's socialism. Billionaire Peter Thiel explains why she thinks that: he says "Capitalism Isn't Working for Young People." 

College student debt is a big factor. "Too many people go to college, they don't learn anything, and they end up with incredibly burdensome debt." In  2000, U.S. student debt amounted to $300 billion. Now it amounts to $2 trillion.

Housing, too, is way more expensive for younger generations (image is Grok-generated).

Thiel's interviewer cites evidence that Thiel is right: "Exit polling after Mamdani's victory shows that his voters were likely motivated by two things: high rent and student debt." 

from "Capitalism Isn't Working for Young People"

Why Mamdani?

"I'm a college student--and I want a future." That about sums up common wisdom as to how socialist Zohran Mamdani (photo) won last week's election to be the new mayor of America's biggest city, New York. "Gen Z voters turned out in droves for the beloved underdog whom they turned into the frontrunner."

This student got up at 4 a.m. on election day to go out and knock on doors for him. She was strongly motivated and just 18 years old. 

It's been many years since the average student was taught to understand our own economics system aka capitalism. When I was a new high school teacher, I realized that even I--the teacher--didn't know how to define free enterprise.

What is it going to take to turn that education structure around? Some kind of huge effort. Young people must learn how capitalism historically has been responsible for the growth of wealth: not just for billionaires, but across society.

Besides the fact that they have been educated to approve of socialism and despise America's own system, what convinces Gen Z voters to go for Mamdani? That's tomorrow's post.

(cont'd tomorrow)

Welfare Europe 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Why did French voters reject the budget cut proposal last summer? Because they wanted their share of benefits after paying high taxes for years to support benefits for others. They couldn't bring themselves to vote for financial sacrifice. 

France is not the only EU country headed toward economic disaster. 

One-tenth of working-age people in Britain claim payouts at public expense because of sickness/disability. Are they really entitled to the fruits of the labor of their neighbors? A politician says what they need is the old "work ethic" back, where it's the default to get a job so you take care of yourself and your family.

Germany has been "living beyond its means" for years according to the German chancellor. He says they can't go on with their welfare state. Politicians know this, but can they convince the people to make painful budget cuts for the greater good? It will be tough.

What will they do? As the president of European Central Bank warned a year ago, Europe's welfare states are “utterly unsustainable.”

from The Stream

Welfare Europe

Sustainable agriculture (examples in the last two posts) is farming that preserves resources that we depend on. Unsustainable methods would eventually mean that soil or water quality won't be there for future farming.

It's a good word that can be used in other contexts. An unsustainable over-spending habit, for instance, results in a serious lack of money in the future. Some Europeans worry about that very thing on a national scale in their countries.

Over-spending has been the story for decades. Europeans pride themselves on extravagant welfare hand-outs. They consider it a core European value to be very generous. But how long can anyone keep giving away more money than they have? 

Last summer the Prime Minister of France made a serious attempt to reign in his country's spending because he realized they are drowning in debt. "The life of the nation is at stake," he told them (photo).

But the proposed budget cut was bitter medicine for voters, and they rejected it--and him as well. He left office in September.

from The Stream

(cont'd tomorrow)

Good cattle? 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

A scientific study was done on the raising of beef at White Oak Pastures to answer that question. Quantis, an environmental research firm, looked into all aspects of beef production at this farm and came to a stunning conclusion: their "grass-fed cattle sequester more carbon than they produce."

Far from adding to carbon emissions thought to produce climate change, beef production done this way is actually a benefit to the Earth.

By the way, climate activist Bill Gates no longer believes that climate change will wipe out humanity. He's joined the trend to de-escalate the fear of climate catastrophe. Good news.

from blog at White Oak Pastures

Good cattle?

White Oak Pastures stopped using the industrial model of cattle farming and switched to the regenerative model. Many animals - not just cattle - now live off his land and even improve it.

Microbial life thrives in the rich soil. Rain water is absorbed into the soil rather than running off of it, and much more carbon is sequestered in it. The regenerative model of farming is healthier for the animals and for the soil than the industrial model of farming.

But maybe you have heard Bill Gates' claim that cattle actually have a negative effect on the environment, that we should all eat manufactured lab meat rather than meat from real animals on real pastures. A different regenerative farmer thinks that's wrong. He claims that real cattle are not bad for the climate or environment.

So, which is it? Are cattle really a threat to the climate and the Earth, or not? 

(cont'd tomorrow)

2+2=5

Our whole education system needs to be re-worked, re-prioritized, re-organized. Woke ideology was ingrained over the years and we didn't even notice it. 

It's not just gender madness or the new "anti-racism" racism: even mathematics education surrenders to woke ideology. Solid, foundational facts may be denied. You may say, "that can't happen because everybody still knows that 2+2 equals 4."

No, unfortunately in the minds of some educators the answer could be 5. True or correct math answers, they claim, is a symptom of "white supremacy." That's what the Oregon Department of Education told teachers in 2021. (Maybe they've stopped that. One can only hope so.) It's a diabolical trend. 

The short fictional film below suggests the chilling scenario where children are taught to believe a lie just because the teacher says so.

from Mind Matters

Foe to friend 4

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Atheist (Boghossian) and Christian (Miller) are now friends, fighting on the same side. They have travelled together and spoken together on the same platform. What do they have in common? They both believe in freedom of speech and objective truth. Passionately.

Miller, like me and most believers, has always defended the rights of people who disagree with us to speak what they believe. It was no great leap for him to fight cancel culture on college campuses. But it probably was a leap for Boghossian because his own preferred politics on the left tends to silence dissenting opinions.

As a Portland professor, Boghossian invited a speaker to campus in 2017 to talk about possible biological gender differences. "Social justice advocates" on campus retaliated by tying his name to the Nazi swastika, by making threats and leaving a bag of feces. He says they silence and punish diverse views, becoming "what they claim to hate - thugs and bullies."

Like Robert George, Peter believes that speaking what you believe to be true in spite of danger . . is a moral duty. It's being suppressed where he worked, at Portland State University. So,  putting his money where his mouth is, he resigned. 

From his resignation letter: "Faculty and administrators have abdicated the university’s truth-seeking mission and instead drive intolerance of divergent beliefs and opinions. This has created a culture of offense where students are now afraid to speak openly and honestly."

Foe to friend 3

Some people like to fight. Conflict doesn't scare or intimidate them because they're just wired that way. You've probably met a few of them in your life. 

The "new atheists" are like that. Evolutionary biologist and atheist Richard Dawkins is their pace setter. He's famous for verbally taking the fight to religious folks.

Professor Peter Boghossian, too, is an atheist and a fighter. For instance, he preaches that there is no connection between faith and morality.  He's on a crusade to wipe out the idea that people of faith are good people. He wants to "help people lose their faith."

But a fighting spirit may exist in Christians as well, one example being Corey Miller. He started a movement to make the case for Christianity on 150 campuses because, in his words, "The university is a battlefield for the minds and hearts of the future."

These men believe strongly in opposite things and are willing to go toe-to-toe with opponents.

But they have one important thing in common. So, amazingly, these "arch enemies" have become friends and allies.

from The Stream

(cont'd tomorrow)

Child faith 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Good news - children seem to be "hardwired" to believe in God. So the advice of yesterday's therapist to bring them up with that faith is natural.

"Are children predisposed to belief in a transcendent being?" A developmental psychologist at Oxford University has been researching that question for years. Now her research and her conclusions are published.

It will be a surprise to many, perhaps, but her research indicates that it's likely that children (of whatever ethnicity) are "hardwired" to believe in God.

Both children and adults can be talked out of it. Famous atheist Richard Dawkins tries his best to do that, as do others.

In tomorrow's post: one of those atheists who does his best to talk students out of their faith, but who also finds common cause with his Christian friend.

Re-post

Child faith 1

If you care about your kids - and you certainly do care - then you need to help them build on their faith in God. If you neglect to help them in this way and they grow up without that faith, they are more likely to experience depression according to this therapist.

"One of the most important explanations [for depression or anxiety in kids]--and perhaps the most neglected--is declining interest in religion. This cultural shift already has proved disastrous for millions of vulnerable young people."

Studies have shown for years that people of faith tend to be happier in comparison to most people. So her view on this point is mainstream.

“Children or teens who reported attending a religious service at least once per week scored higher on psychological well-being measurements and had lower risks of mental illness. Weekly attendance was associated with higher rates of volunteering, a sense of mission, forgiveness, and lower probabilities of drug use and early sexual initiation,” she noted of the latest studies on the impact of religion on the mental health of children and teenagers.

But what if the parents themselves don't believe in God? Easy. She advises them to lie.

"The alternative is to tell them they're simply going to die and turn to dust."

from "Don't Believe in God? Lie to Your Children"

(cont'd tomorrow)

Re-post

E-waste 1

When you get a new phone, where does the old one go? How about tv's and laptops? Over a billion phones were manufactured in 2024. Where are the ones they replaced?

We suppose they're getting re-cycled somehow. Some do, around 22% of them. It's a market niche that some companies have jumped into. SK Tes, one of those, operates at a global level to process "IT assets" discarded by organizations. At 40 facilities around the world, they re-purpose over 3 million annually; that's hundreds of millions of pounds of electronics.

The other 78% of throw-away technology is dumped or unsafely "processed."

Just the sheer volume is a global problem. Much of it ends up in burning piles in southeast Asia and Africa. Serious pollution results in health risks such as cancer, while 80% of the children in the capitol of Ghana have lead poisoning.

from The Next Web

Catastrophism 4

 (cont'd from yesterday's post)

Negotiators representing China were present at the Paris Climate Accords in 2015, where nations gathered to fight climate change and set goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Europe was also represented, of course, and they've worked at their goals. Their CO2 emissions have declined over the past 30+ years as you can see in the chart below. How much has China accomplished in reducing their emissions? Nothing.

China's CO2 emissions have skyrocketed. They increasingly burn more coal, the dirtiest of the fossil fuels, than all the rest of the world's nations put together. In short, they've made zero progress and instead have put their emissions on a "hockey-stick" climb.

One of those Chinese negotiators is now CEO of EFC (Energy Foundation China) in San Francisco, which has given $500 million to help fund over 4,000 climate organizations. But are they motivated by a passion to stop global warming, or is it something else?

An American senator held a hearing to show how China strategically bankrolls our climate terrors to weaken U.S. energy output--in the source cited below.

from "How China Highjacked America's Climate Fears"

Catastrophism 3

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Students have been getting a message of pending climate catastrophe for decades. It does sink into their view of the world, resulting in effects on their mental health: "a chronic fear of environmental doom" also known as  "eco-anxiety" (image). Professional therapist organizations (like Climate Psychiatry Alliance) have been growing.

Your children have likely picked up some "transference" of eco-anxiety if their school teachers are on the political left (see yesterday's post). A British study done by the BBC found that "75% of young adults from the ages 16 to 25 reported themselves to have intense worry or fear about the future due to climate change."

Mother of a Berkley student tells of her son, "a climate activist and urban studies graduate student at Berkeley, [who] died by suicide, citing feelings of hopelessness over the changing climate."

Ideas have consequences. 

If it's not time to panic--if the environmental researcher is right--then don't scare people to death. 

from City Journal

(cont'd tomorrow)

Catastrophism 2

(cont'd from yesterday's post)

Why did he change his mind? Here are some things he considered:

1. Worst-case estimates of how high Earth's temperature may rise this century have gone down from earlier estimates . . and yet activists haven't calmed their rhetoric (photo).
2. Global deaths from weather extremes (thought to be caused by climate change) have declined by 96% over the last century. "Climate change is contributing very little to present-day disasters."
3. Ice sheet and permafrost melting due to warming climate would not operate in decades but rather in centuries. It's not time to panic.

"Why do so many smart people get the science of climate risk so badly wrong? . . . The capture of . . progressive politics over the last generation has been close to total. . . Highly educated people are often more likely to hold stubbornly onto erroneous beliefs because they are adept at rationalizing their ideological commitments."

from The Free Press

(cont'd tomorrow)

Catastrophism 1

Climate "catastrophism"--belief that climate change will result in utter disaster for both humans and Earth--has been going strong for something like 30 years. An author and researcher with big environmental credentials who believed this, who encouraged the fear of this kind of apocalypse, now says:

"I thought climate change would end the world. I was wrong." 

Big and uncommonly humble words for someone called a hero of the environment by Time Magazine.

He still believes climate has been getting warmer, but says that it will in no way produce catastrophe, as he used to imagine. In this he is like his one-time partner, who actually wrote a book to apologize for scaring people about climate.

In this video he explains that "Climate catastrophism is a bad idea!"

from The Free Press

(cont'd tomorrow)

Path to Pro

Trade jobs will always be in demand, and right now in this country the demand is higher than the supply. Lots of those jobs are going unfilled.

Home Depot wants to help. Their "Path to Pro Skills Program" trains individuals for careers in the skilled trades . . for free. 

Training is self-paced. You just go here and sign up online. 

After training is completed, you have exclusive access to their job network consisting of their customers who want to hire. Pass this tip along to someone who's looking for opportunity.

from Home Depot  

Declining lgbtq

After years of climbing numbers, the percentage of students in gender confusion or denial has dropped almost by half.

Out of a poll of 68,000 college students this year, under 4% self-identified as something other than "man" or "woman," that is, gender non-conforming.

Just two years ago, nearly 7% were gender non-conforming. 

Maybe it's part of the "vibe shift." Fashions come and go.

from Relevant Magazine

Test flight #11

Starship completed test flight #11 on Tuesday evening (complete SpaceX video). As you know, this is the space craft which (in a modified form) is expected to land astronauts on the moon in 2027 through NASA's Artemis Mission.

Bigger and more powerful than any previous rocket including the Saturn V, Starship aced more tests including engine re-light and controlled re-entry. 

Dozens of cameras deliver great views, one of them being a view inside "Ship" (stage one) looking down from the height of the nose cone. From that point, you can see the dummy satellites slide smoothly through the payload door into space. Starlink satellites bring us the pictures.

Here are a couple of things to look for in the video below. Actual launch begins at 7:08. Look for speed and altitude in the bottom right and left corners. (How fast is it going after 30 seconds?) After the Ship separates from Super Heavy booster, speed/altitude of Ship are in the right lower corner and speed/altitude of the booster are in the left. The lit engines are filled-in circles.

Tesla parks

When you do your shopping on the weekend and the stores are crowded, parking may be frustrating. Being dropped off at the door while the car finds its own parking space would be great. According to Elon, that will be achieved in the future by the full self-driving feature.

Until then, Teslas keep improving their ability to find a parking spot and park the car while you are in it. Here's a driver's recent experience in a Costco lot:

Peace prize

Follow up to these posts

Venezuela's opposition candidate for president ran against dictator Nicolas Maduro in 2024 and won the most votes, according to the U.S. Attorney General at that time. 

Maduro managed to retain his power and stay in his position, though denounced by world leaders for his thuggery. Maria had to go into hiding to escape his threats.

She's been a brave campaigner for freedom and democracy in her country where it's dangerous to take that stand. For her leadership in this cause, though her party has not yet been successful, she (photo) was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize last Friday.

In a piece for UK's The Times, she says that our US president "certainly deserves" to win that prize next year in 2026. In her words, “I mean, in only nine months, so many conflicts have been solved or prevented.”

from Times of Israel

Murder wish

Violence and lawlessness in America is worse than it ever has been. Until a few years ago, we were mostly unified in our values. Both political parties worked for what they deemed "the common good" for the people of our country. Neither of these things seem to be true now.

Certainly, someone who fantasized about the killing of a political opponent and his children (and admitted it) would have had no chance to win any election for a leadership position in his state. But . . such a man (photo) is running to be Attorney General (top law enforcement officer) for Virginia.

He says he's  sorry. But he still plans to win, and his political party has not pulled him out of the race. They should be in a hurry to put distance between themselves and such a man in order to assure Americans that they want nothing to do with murder wishes and violence. So far, they seem to be fine with it and still support him.

from CNN

American story 1

America's story contains many individual stories. Here is the first in that video series produced by Hillsdale College (yesterday's post) to celebrate our 250th birthday. You could say that Dr. McClay has made a profession out of telling our stories.

Who fired the first shot in the Revolutionary War to free us from the English king? Nobody knows, but it is known when that happened and it's called "the shot heard round the world."

USA at 250 #2

Like the professor in yesterday's post, Hillsdale College and its president Larry Aarn want Americans to know our own story. So they have partnered with the White House to tell The Story of America in celebration of the nation's 250th birthday coming next summer.

Here he is introducing the series of videos they've created for that purpose:

USA at 250

Will America continue to be America, to be great again, if Americans don't even know their own story? Professor Akhil Amar thinks not: "Without a proper national story, our nation, as much an idea as a place, is in mortal danger."

It's essential, he says, that Americans need to know our story and our documents. It's "more essential for Americans than for other people around the world because we have so little else in common."

We the people are many ethnicities, races, religions, languages, time zones, climates, geographical features, and opinions. What we have that unites us is our Constitution (photo) and our epic founding.

"America remains earth's best hope." But it's still true, just as Benjamin Franklin famously said, it's up to us to keep it.

from The Free Press

(to be continued)